Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.942484 1.061806 1.192034 1.344975 1.520000 1.714422 1.947274
2025-01-19 0.723710 0.876420 1.056928 1.287070 1.574163 1.922388 2.379628
2025-01-26 0.634341 0.805993 1.020021 1.308555 1.690501 2.183114 2.873577
2025-02-02 0.572002 0.755709 0.994977 1.332733 1.802517 2.440591 3.386159
2025-02-09 0.519036 0.708793 0.965286 1.341954 1.888806 2.665918 3.875607
2025-02-16 0.475283 0.668219 0.937701 1.347622 1.966079 2.881639 4.372340
2025-02-23 0.444366 0.641685 0.925746 1.372191 2.070398 3.144602 4.969871
2025-03-02 0.402727 0.595037 0.879176 1.338541 2.079778 3.259330 5.340626
2025-03-09 0.381671 0.576935 0.873018 1.365462 2.185576 3.536176 6.013106
2025-03-16 0.353952 0.545902 0.843709 1.351669 2.221843 3.699770 6.506715
2025-03-23 0.335063 0.527013 0.831579 1.364113 2.302213 3.945135 7.176726
2025-03-30 0.312113 0.499605 0.803139 1.345852 2.326337 4.092079 7.678524
2025-04-06 0.292597 0.476739 0.780982 1.337460 2.369101 4.281000 8.295347
2025-04-13 0.266313 0.440578 0.733598 1.280190 2.316503 4.285779 8.543035
2025-04-20 0.255701 0.430376 0.729986 1.301519 2.413286 4.587638 9.449558
2025-04-27 0.246380 0.421645 0.728105 1.325555 2.517218 4.914601 10.456949
2025-05-04 0.235604 0.409470 0.718972 1.334721 2.592072 5.189844 11.388391
2025-05-11 0.225199 0.397183 0.708607 1.340355 2.659880 5.457239 12.340698
2025-05-18 0.218059 0.390368 0.707841 1.364777 2.769080 5.826178 13.592597
2025-05-25 0.204186 0.369980 0.679788 1.331328 2.750771 5.908962 14.146698
2025-06-01 0.198564 0.364897 0.680868 1.358089 2.866753 6.311011 15.580820
2025-06-08 0.188696 0.350943 0.663506 1.344378 2.890503 6.499562 16.480536
2025-06-15 0.182368 0.343494 0.658541 1.356748 2.974931 6.843060 17.858066